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Glamsterdam network upgrade (Q1 2026) is the technical catalyst for scaling improvement. Massive ETF outflows ($2.76B) are the main bearish pressure, but balanced by drastically falling exchange reserves showing quiet accumulation. Co-founder Vitalik selling ETH in early 2026 added negative sentiment. No scheduled unlocks as ETH is fully unlocked with staking-based emissions.
Support at $1900 critical to avoid $1800 retest. MACD still negative despite narrowing histogram, recovery momentum not confirmed. Strong resistance at $2150 with 6-month bearish structure still intact. If Glamsterdam upgrade delayed or faces technical issues, could trigger sell-off. Continued ETF outflows could override on-chain accumulation signals.
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